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HdL Sales Tax Report for CY2020 Q1 SalesSales Tax Update In Brief Top 25 producers In AlphAbetIcAl Order www.hdlcompanies.com | 888.861.0220 Q12020 Encinitas Encinitas’ receipts from January through March were 18.5% below the first sales period in 2019 but the decline was exaggerated by the Governor’s recent Executive Order allowing some businesses an ex- tra 90-days to file their tax return. Absent this aberration, sales were down 4.9%.Local restaurant results were lower after the Governor’s March 19 lock- down order closed dining rooms near the tail-end of the quarter. This decline was further magnified by nu- merous partial payments, which will be made up in future quarters.Service station receipts fell as many employees transitioned to working from home, while sporting good and home furnishing sales also declined.Allocations from the countywide use tax pool, however, surged 24% after a recent legislative change that allows the State to collect tax rev- enue from small, third-party sell- ers on internet-based, market-plat- forms.Net of aberrations, taxable sales for all of San Diego County declined 4.0% over the comparable time pe- riod; the Southern California region was down 4.1%. City of Encinitas Second Quarter Receipts for First Quarter Sales (January - March 2020) Published by HdL Companies in Summer 2020 7 Eleven 76 Best Buy BMW of Encinitas Cardiff Seaside Market Chevron Encinitas Ford Financial Services Vehicle Trust Herman Cook Volkswagen Home Depot Home Goods Lazy Acres Pacific Coast Grill Quick Shine Car Wash REI Shell Shell Car Wash At Encinitas Ranch Stater Bros Target TJ Maxx Trader Joes Valero Vons Vuori Walmart Supercenter $0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000 $700,000 $800,000 SALES TAX BY MAJOR BUSINESS GROUP 1st Quarter 2019* 1st Quarter 2020* General Consumer Goods County and State Pools Restaurants and Hotels Autos and Transportation Food and Drugs Fuel and Service Stations Building and Construction Business and Industry *Allocation aberrations have been adjusted to reflect sales activity $10,112,290 $11,240,876 4,773 5,112 1,754,827 1,517,878 $8,352,690 $9,717,886 2019-202018-19 Point-of-Sale County Pool State Pool Gross Receipts REVENUE COMPARISON Three Quarters – Fiscal Year To Date (Q3 to Q1) NOTESSales Tax UpdateQ1 2020 City of Encinitas $0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 SALES PER CAPITA * Encinitas Q1 17 Q1 20 Q1 18 Q1 19 County California *Allocation aberrations have been adjusted to reflect sales activity 23% Cons.Goods 19% Pools 16% Restaurants 13% Autos/Trans. 9% Food/Drug 8% Fuel 8% Building4% Bus./Ind. Encinitas This Quarter*REVENUE BY BUSINESS GROUP *Allocation aberrations have been adjusted to reflect sales activity Q1 '20* Encinitas ENCINITAS TOP 15 BUSINESS TYPES** Business Type Change Change Change County HdL State*In thousands of dollars 2.3%1.6%0.1% 75.0 Auto Lease — CONFIDENTIAL — -3.8%3.0%-0.5% 185.8 Building Materials — CONFIDENTIAL — -19.1%-18.8%-18.2% 231.7 Casual Dining -3.0%-4.4%-4.3% 59.0 Convenience Stores/Liquor -0.8%3.2%3.8% 179.2 Discount Dept Stores — CONFIDENTIAL — -15.9%-18.0%-18.5% 70.4 Electronics/Appliance Stores -19.7%-21.1%-21.4% 66.9 Family Apparel -21.3%-9.9%-11.3% 80.0 Fast-Casual Restaurants 13.0%11.8%13.1% 162.6 Grocery Stores -24.0%-13.0%-13.6% 82.0 Home Furnishings -5.3%-10.6%-10.4% 226.7 New Motor Vehicle Dealers — CONFIDENTIAL — -15.1%-8.5%-9.1% 132.4 Quick-Service Restaurants -11.9%-9.5%-8.9% 249.1 Service Stations -12.9%-10.1%-10.6% 52.7 Specialty Stores -21.5%-10.3%-13.1% 85.9 Sporting Goods/Bike Stores -7.3%-8.0%-9.7% 23.9% -4.9% 2,420.4 555.4 2,975.8 Total All Accounts County & State Pool Allocation Gross Receipts 19.3%22.4% -4.0%-3.0% ** Accounting aberrations such as late payments, fund transfers, and audit adjustments have been adjusted to reflect the quarter in which the sales occurred. Statewide Results With stay at home/non-essential busi- ness restrictions in place during the last two weeks of the quarter, local one cent tax revenues for the state overall, were 18.8% lower than January to March of 2019. Taxpayer relief programs account- ed for much of the decline with receipts down roughly 3.1% after factoring for payment deferrals and other accounting anomalies. Severe drops in auto sales, general consumer goods, service stations and restaurants were largely offset by new revenue from implementation of the Wayfair v. South Dakota decision that now requires out-of-state retailers to col- lect and remit Californian’s sales and use tax. Other offsets included a surge in online shopping that boosted receipts from the county use tax allocation pools and from online retailers who maintain and ship their inventory from within California. The food/drug sector also showed strong gains as did many home supply, dollar and discount stores that remained open during the shutdown. New Challenges & Opportunities Current indicators suggest that overall tax receipts for the April thru June sales period will bottom out at 27% below the second quarter of 2019. The speed of the rebound in sales activity will be dependent on the availability of ade- quate testing, treatment therapies and ultimately a vaccine. Until then, phys- ical distancing, COVID-19 protocols and supply chain disruptions will create limitations on some operating capacities and the return to work of all employees. Health fears, discounts and liquidation sales may also keep sales tax revenues below pre-pandemic levels until solu- tions are in place. Regardless of when full recovery does occur, reports are that some elements of the economy will be permanently altered. Generation of future tax rev- enues may require rethinking of local economic strategies. Over expansion, excessive debt and consumer shifts to online shopping were already resulting in bankruptcies with es- timates of up to 25,000 brick -and-mortar store closings by the end of 2020. “Touch and feel” shopping is not going away but retailers see an evolution where in-store shopping is more leisure/recreational ori- ented with smaller stores offering more show-rooming and delivery/pick-up services. The smaller footprints and life- style emphasis offer opportunities to rein- state downtowns and neighborhood cen- ters as economic/social gathering places. The Pandemic’s capture of new online customers and the growing trend of man- ufacturers and entrepreneurs with new concepts to bypass physical stores and sell directly to the consumer also expands op- tions for agencies without large market populations to generate sales tax through industrial development. Finally, the Pandemic’s disruption of sup- ply chains has also accelerated growing dissatisfaction with overseas arrangements and some reshoring will occur which offers opportunities to leverage a city’s ex- isting business base to attract compatible support industries.