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HdL Sales Tax Report for CY2020 Q2 SalesSales Tax Update In Brief Top 25 producers In AlphAbetIcAl Order www.hdlcompanies.com | 888.861.0220 Q22020 Encinitas Encinitas’ receipts from April through June were 5.4% below the second sales period in 2019. Actual sales were down 16.5% after adjust- ing for additional payments received from last quarter that had been de- layed by the State’s relief program to support businesses during the Covid-19 crisis.The March 19 State lockdown or- ders temporarily shuttered many non-essential retailers and had a profound impact on most categories within the general consumer goods group including home furnishings, sporting goods, and bike stores.The closure of restaurant dining rooms contributed to the 49% de- cline for casual eateries. Gasoline sales were also lower as many em- ployees transitioned to work from home during the pandemic.Allocations from the countywide use tax pool surged 36%, howev- er, after a recent legislative change has allowed for the taxation of addi- tional internet purchases and as and as more consumers have shifted to shopping online during the pandem- ic.Net of aberrations, taxable sales for all of San Diego County declined 18.9% over the comparable time pe- riod; the Southern California region was down 18.0%. City of Encinitas Third Quarter Receipts for Second Quarter Sales (April - June 2020) Published by HdL Companies in Fall 2020 7 Eleven 76 Best Buy BevMo BMW of Encinitas Cardiff Seaside Market Chevron Ed Grangetto Agricultural Supply Encinitas Ford Financial Services Vehicle Trust Hansen Surfboards Herman Cook Volkswagen Home Depot Lazy Acres Quick Shine Car Wash Ralphs Shell Shell Car Wash At Encinitas Ranch Stater Bros Target Trader Joes USA Gasoline Vons Vuori Walmart Supercenter $0 $200,000 $400,000 $600,000 $800,000 $1,000,000 SALES TAX BY MAJOR BUSINESS GROUP 2nd Quarter 2019* 2nd Quarter 2020* Business and Industry Fuel and Service Stations Food and Drugs Restaurants and Hotels Autos and Transportation General Consumer Goods County and State Pools *Allocation aberrations have been adjusted to reflect sales activity $13,392,605 $14,709,987 5,815 6,413 2,461,807 2,021,121 $10,924,982 $12,682,452 2019-202018-19 Point-of-Sale County Pool State Pool Gross Receipts REVENUE COMPARISON Four Quarters – Fiscal Year To Date (Q3 to Q2) NOTESSales Tax Update2Q 2020 City of Encinitas $0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 SALES PER CAPITA * Encinitas Q2 17 Q2 20 Q2 18 Q2 19 County California *Allocation aberrations have been adjusted to reflect sales activity 24% Pools 20% Cons.Goods 14% Autos/Trans. 13% Restaurants 10% Food/Drug 8% Building6% Fuel4% Bus./Ind. Encinitas This Quarter*REVENUE BY BUSINESS GROUP *Allocation aberrations have been adjusted to reflect sales activity Q2 '20* Encinitas ENCINITAS TOP 15 BUSINESS TYPES** Business Type Change Change Change County HdL State*In thousands of dollars -5.5%-9.2%-11.2% 71.1 Auto Lease -2.0%7.0%3.0% 179.1 Building Materials — CONFIDENTIAL — -48.8%-53.2%-56.2% 154.0 Casual Dining 19.2%8.4%14.0% 82.7 Convenience Stores/Liquor 3.1%-6.3%-8.9% 204.9 Discount Dept Stores — CONFIDENTIAL — -32.4%-30.2%-34.2% 72.3 Fast-Casual Restaurants 8.0%3.5%-3.5% 53.7 Garden/Agricultural Supplies 13.6%7.8%10.8% 178.1 Grocery Stores -53.3%-41.7%-41.4% 51.4 Home Furnishings 147.3%-52.8%7.4% 65.4 Men's Apparel — CONFIDENTIAL — 1.4%-15.8%-16.3% 272.4 New Motor Vehicle Dealers — CONFIDENTIAL — -25.9%-22.0%-24.4% 123.7 Quick-Service Restaurants -46.1%-45.2%-38.1% 185.2 Service Stations -28.2%-36.2%-37.9% 48.3 Specialty Stores -36.7%-11.0%-13.9% 82.7 Sporting Goods/Bike Stores -24.0%-28.1%-25.4% 36.1% -16.5% 2,201.5 682.2 2,883.7 Total All Accounts County & State Pool Allocation Gross Receipts 37.6%28.9% -18.9%-16.3% ** Accounting aberrations such as late payments, fund transfers, and audit adjustments have been adjusted to reflect the quarter in which the sales occurred. Statewide Results Local sales and use tax receipts from April through June sales were 16.3% lower than the same quarter of 2019 after factoring for accounting anomalies and back pay- ments from previous quarters. This was the largest quarter to quarter de- cline since 2009. The drops were deepest in the San Francisco Bay Area, Central Coast and Southern California where de- clines in revenues from fuel, automobiles, general consumer goods and restaurants/ hotels were the most severe. However, despite a 14.9% unemployment rate that eclipsed the previous high of 12.3% during the great recession of 2010 and temporary business closures, the drop in sales was less than previously projected by most analysts including HdL. The high second quarter unemployment rates primarily affected lower wage service sectors which generate a smaller share of sales tax revenues. Internet connected knowledge workers continued to work but locked at home, found that they had extra cash to spend because of reduced commute and work-related expenses and few entertainment or travel options. Ad- ditionally, though much of the quarter’s government relief payments were spent largely on rents, utilities and necessities, the money was not distributed propor- tionally to income losses thereby adding temporary discretionary income gains for some recipients. Low interest rates and longer term lend- ing practices allowed the extra money to be spent on previously delayed purchases such as autos and home improvements. New car registrations dropped 48.9% in the second quarter, but sales tax re- ceipts dropped only 15.8% as buyers who did purchase, opted for more expensive SUV’s, trucks and luxury vehicles. As cabin fever set in, sales of RV’s, boats and Motorcycles also began to rise. With restaurants and many brick and mortar stores closed or restricted to lim- ited occupancy, buyers shifted to online shopping with tax revenues from in-state fulfillment centers rising 142.7% over the second quarter of 2019 and county pools where tax receipts from out-of-state goods are allocated, rising 28.9%. Online sales accounted for 52.0% of this quarter’s tax revenues from the general consumer goods group. Working at home eventually morphed into working on home thereby boosting related improvement purchases. Grocers, cannabis, liquor and sporting goods fur- ther helped offset losses in other segments. Strong demand for warehouse and ship- ping technology, equipment and supplies to accommodate the increase in online shopping as well as home offices and virtual classrooms helped offset declines in the business/industrial group. Un- anticipated gains in agriculture related purchases and transit spending further added to the offset. Pandemic uncertainties, fires, childcare issues and bankruptcies are expected to result in uneven gains through 2020-21 with each jurisdiction’s experience differ- ing according to the scope and character of their individual tax bases. Overall recovery and improvement in statewide receipts is not expected to begin until 2021-22.